León vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 2
PUM
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
PAC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 1
ATS
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 3
FLU
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 5
FLA
16%
23%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 2
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |