Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MPL
3 - 3
LEN
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LEN
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 2
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PSG
1 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
REI
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |