Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
NÎM
1 - 0
LEN
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
MET
1 - 1
LEN
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1955 |
ASN
1 - 3
LEN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
LEN
6 - 2
SOC
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LEN
2 - 1
LIL
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
RAC
3 - 1
NIC
45%
22%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
NIC
2 - 1
STR
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
NÎM
6 - 2
NIC
43%
23%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |