Lens vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GIR
4 - 1
LOR
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |