Lens II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POI
3 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 1
AAC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LEH
2 - 2
LEN
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DIE
0 - 1
LEN
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FLE
3 - 2
REI
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
IRI
0 - 1
FLE
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 0
AAC
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
POI
3 - 2
FLE
25%
27%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
DRA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |