Lengthens FC vs Black Mambas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lengthens FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DOU
0 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 3
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 2
GUN
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 0
HWA
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NJU
2 - 2
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Black Mambas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
BLA
2 - 2
CAP
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HIG
2 - 1
BLA
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |