Club Lemos vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
COX
2 - 2
LEM
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEM
0 - 1
ATO
29%
28%
43%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ALO
1 - 2
LEM
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LEM
2 - 2
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
LUG
3 - 1
LEM
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
CHO
3 - 3
COM
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
RCF
5 - 0
CHO
93%
6%
2%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDO
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BET
5 - 3
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
4 - 1
ARE
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |