Club Lemos vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
ALO
2 - 1
LEM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
LEM
1 - 0
COX
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
RCF
6 - 1
LEM
95%
4%
1%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
LEM
2 - 2
DEP
22%
26%
52%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
LEM
1 - 1
BUE
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARO
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ASP
3 - 1
CHO
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 2
CHO
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |