Club Lemos vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
LEM
2 - 1
ALO
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ZEL
1 - 1
LEM
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEM
4 - 1
ACF
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 1
LEM
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LEM
1 - 1
FOZ
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COX
4 - 3
CHO
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
CHO
6 - 2
ALO
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VIV
2 - 1
CHO
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
CHO
6 - 2
LEM
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
ACF
3 - 1
CHO
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |