Lemona vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
AMU
2 - 2
LEM
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 1
BEA
39%
30%
31%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
LEM
0 - 2
CFP
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
RUN
0 - 1
LEM
60%
25%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
LEM
0 - 0
RSO
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
GER
1 - 1
BAR
29%
31%
40%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
OSA
1 - 0
GER
65%
22%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LOG
1 - 2
GER
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
GER
0 - 1
NUM
19%
28%
53%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
ALA
3 - 0
GER
85%
11%
5%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |