Leganés vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 3
LEG
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 0
AGU
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
LEG
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LEG
3 - 0
IMP
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
LEG
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 0
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
RMC
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RMC
4 - 0
UDF
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RMC
5 - 1
ULP
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |