Leevon PPK vs Upesciems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 0
SKA
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
SUP
14%
20%
67%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 1
FSL
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Upesciems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
UPE
3 - 1
STA
15%
16%
70%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
UPE
0 - 2
SMI
5%
9%
86%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
TFK
0 - 1
UPE
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UPE
0 - 3
DAL
15%
17%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UPE
2 - 4
SPE
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |