Lecce vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 2
LEC
28%
26%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
25%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 4
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 1
EMP
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
CTT
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 0
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 0
CTT
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 1
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |