Lecce vs Alto Vicentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
USF
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 3
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
BV5
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
LCR
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alto Vicentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 3
AVI
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 4
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
AVI
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 3
UAR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
5 - 3
AVI
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |