Lecce vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 0
LEC
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
LEC
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCV
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 5
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASG
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ACP
3 - 3
FRO
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 2
ACP
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACP
4 - 1
NOC
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
ACP
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 2
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |