Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
1 - 2
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAR
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
CAT
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |