Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
81%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
INT
3 - 2
CES
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
ROM
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
CES
54%
27%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |