Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALE
49%
27%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
MUÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
ALE
50%
25%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
76%
17%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DPA
1 - 1
YUP
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
DPA
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
DPA
1 - 1
CLA
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
CBA
0 - 0
DPA
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
DPA
0 - 2
PUE
63%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |