Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
ALE
50%
25%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
76%
17%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 2
ALE
46%
27%
27%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
ITU
47%
26%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MUÑ
2 - 1
YUP
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
MUÑ
52%
26%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
CLA
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
CBA
1 - 2
MUÑ
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |