Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARM
2 - 1
ALE
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 0
LUJ
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAC
0 - 1
ALE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 0
UAI
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
ALE
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 0
CCO
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
JJU
3 - 0
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 0
LAM
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 2
CAD
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 3
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |