FC Noah Jurmala vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
63.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Noah Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LDZ
0 - 3
LIE
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LDZ
0 - 3
BFC
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 0
LDZ
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
FSM
7 - 0
LDZ
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
LDZ
1 - 4
BFC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
LIE
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
FKS
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 0
LDZ
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
SUD
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |