Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
LAZ
2 - 1
APO
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
EMP
0 - 1
LAZ
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FRO
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 2
NAP
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
USA
0 - 4
GEN
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAS
5 - 3
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 1
EMP
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
4 - 0
LEC
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |