Lazio vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 0
LAZ
24%
21%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
JUV
5 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
TOR
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |