Laufen vs Etoile Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laufen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LYS
3 - 1
LAU
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
LAU
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
3 - 2
FCT
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
LAU
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Etoile Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 3
BLA
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
7 - 0
FCE
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
4 - 3
ALL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCF
3 - 3
FCE
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
3 - 2
ALL
28%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |