AEL Larisa vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 1
LAR
19%
27%
54%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
KIS
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
LAR
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
APS
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ERG
0 - 3
LAR
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 0
LAM
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 0
ACH
52%
27%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZAK
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAN
3 - 2
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |