Larache vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
RCD
3 - 1
LCF
85%
10%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
LCF
2 - 1
UTR
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 1
LCF
73%
15%
13%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LCF
5 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +4 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CAA
2 - 2
LCF
86%
9%
6%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CDB
3 - 2
REC
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
JSE
3 - 0
CDB
76%
13%
11%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SFE
8 - 0
CDB
81%
11%
8%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CDB
3 - 2
CAD
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SDC
4 - 0
CDB
81%
11%
8%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |