Lanús II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
ROC
3 - 1
LAN
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
RST
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 2
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 2
LAN
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 0
CAU
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOC
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
GOC
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
PLA
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |