Lajeadense vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LAJ
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 1
LAJ
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LAJ
3 - 0
GEB
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LAJ
0 - 1
MON
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SSR
0 - 3
LAJ
12%
17%
70%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
ISM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SGA
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |