Lajeadense vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 1
LAJ
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
LAJ
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LAJ
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LAJ
6 - 1
CAC
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 1
LAJ
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |