Lagos vs Monte Trigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
LAG
25%
24%
52%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
MOU
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
7 - 2
SES
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
LAG
29%
25%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |