Lagoa vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LAG
0 - 0
TOR
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 0
SES
96%
3%
1%
|
25 | 88 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TIR
3 - 1
SES
87%
10%
4%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
SES
0 - 1
TIR
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
MAR
1 - 2
SES
87%
10%
4%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
SES
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |