Lagarto vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
AFP
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SER
4 - 1
FFC
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
SER
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
FPI
49%
22%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |