La Spezia vs Corbetta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 0
SPE
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
SPE
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
BOR
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 2
SPE
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
GAR
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
VIL
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
COR
0 - 4
ACC
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 2
COR
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
CES
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |