La Fresneda vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AND
3 - 0
FRE
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 3
ESM
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 2
FRE
83%
11%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BER
3 - 2
FRE
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 2
ESM
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
LUA
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUA
3 - 0
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 3
LUA
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUA
5 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |