L'Aquila vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
LAQ
41%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LAQ
0 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ACP
3 - 0
LAQ
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LAQ
0 - 2
ATE
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASB
1 - 1
LAQ
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GIU
2 - 2
ACP
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
USP
2 - 1
GIU
17%
26%
56%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GIU
1 - 2
ACS
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GIU
0 - 2
RIM
17%
26%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TER
2 - 0
GIU
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |