L'Aquila vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 0
ACI
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
LAQ
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 2
ARZ
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
ARZ
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCC
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 2
GIU
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 1
FCC
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
FCC
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |