L'Aquila vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LAQ
2 - 1
CRO
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAQ
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LAQ
1 - 0
ACG
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
LAQ
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAQ
68%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 0
GIU
38%
26%
35%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ACP
2 - 0
FAN
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
FAN
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FAN
2 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |