L'Aquila vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
69.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
LAQ
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 0
PAG
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SSB
2 - 2
LAQ
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
GRO
16%
25%
59%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
LAQ
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ASG
2 - 2
BEN
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |