L'Aquila vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
LAQ
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FCC
33%
31%
37%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
USF
2 - 1
LAQ
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GIU
1 - 1
LAQ
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 1
CRO
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEN
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
4 - 0
SSS
33%
30%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 0
USF
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PAT
0 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |