KPV vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
80.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KPV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 1
KPV
95%
3%
1%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
KPV
0 - 5
CEL
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
CEL
9 - 0
KPV
90%
7%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
HER
1 - 1
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
KOL
0 - 1
OFC
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 1
KPV
95%
3%
1%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
BYM
6 - 3
KOL
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
KOL
2 - 2
F95
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |