Koeppchen vs Sporting Bertrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
7º
2º
22
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
USS
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 5
CBG
38%
24%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
KOE
33%
21%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UKT
1 - 1
KOE
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
URE
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
RBE
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
USS
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CBG
3 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 5
UKT
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |