Kitzbühel vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
8º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
KIT
17%
19%
63%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 4
WAT
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KUF
4 - 0
KIT
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 3
KIT
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
2 - 1
KUN
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 0
WOR
10%
15%
74%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
IMS
1 - 2
WOR
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 1
SCH
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
10 - 0
WOR
52%
20%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 2
REI
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |