Kitzbühel vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
39
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIT
26%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 1
FUG
23%
23%
55%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 1
KIT
20%
20%
61%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
KIT
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 2
WAT
40%
24%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
FCV
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 3
WAT
33%
23%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
TEL
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
KUN
80%
12%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
WOR
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |