Kitzbühel vs Telfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
26
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 2
IAC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 2
STJ
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 2
KIT
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 4
FCV
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 4
TEL
25%
23%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 4
TEL
11%
17%
73%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
5 - 0
VOL
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FUG
7 - 2
TEL
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |