Kitchee FC vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
4º
18
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
3 - 0
WTP
78%
14%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
KFC
12%
17%
71%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UTH
3 - 2
KFC
12%
16%
72%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
KFC
7%
13%
80%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BIU
1 - 7
KFC
24%
22%
54%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
SDI
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
BIU
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
15%
18%
67%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
WTP
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |