Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MHE
2 - 1
KIL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GLA
4 - 0
KIL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 4
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |