Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1917 |
KIL
4 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1917 |
MHE
1 - 1
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
KIL
5 - 1
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1917 |
FAL
1 - 0
KIL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1917 |
KIL
2 - 0
AYR
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
0 - 1
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1917 |
FAL
4 - 0
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
1 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1917 |
MHE
4 - 0
HOM
37%
24%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1917 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |