Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1904 |
GLA
3 - 0
KIL
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1904 |
KIL
2 - 1
MHE
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1903 |
QUE
1 - 1
KIL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1903 |
STM
3 - 0
KIL
69%
18%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1903 |
PGA
4 - 1
KIL
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1904 |
HOM
5 - 0
AIR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1904 |
HIB
2 - 4
HOM
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1904 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1904 |
QUE
2 - 2
HOM
21%
22%
58%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1904 |
HOM
2 - 1
GLA
55%
21%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |