Kilmarnock vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
GLA
3 - 0
KIL
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
KIL
3 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
KIL
3 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ICT
2 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
KIL
4 - 1
MHE
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 2
ABE
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
KIL
3 - 2
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 1
ICT
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |