Kidderminster Harriers vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BOS
4 - 1
KID
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 1
KID
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
KID
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
KID
2 - 0
HAL
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
KID
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
WBA
1 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
HUL
44%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 3
REA
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
SHE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |